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to the Alpha Private Client Area.

Click on the Private Client Area icon to view information relating to your personal underwriting through Alpha.

Visit Market News to read Alpha’s commentary on events and listen to audio files of Alpha meetings and other events on Diary Dates.

 

Please click here to see a complete schedule of 2016 and 2017 year of account forecasts as at 30th September 2018.

 

 

We will be writing to Members shortly with individual forecasts for each portfolio.

 

Alpha comment: the latest estimates as at 30th September 2018 include an update on the 2016 and 2017 years of account.

 

The 2016 year of account for the Lloyd’s market has seen a deterioration this quarter from a midpoint loss of -4.0% to a midpoint loss of -4.5%, which is  now worse than the original loss forecast as at 31st December 2017. Syndicates with third party capital are forecasting an average loss of -1.3%  (-1.1% last quarter) and aligned syndicates, being those with no third party capital, are forecasting a midpoint loss of -5.8% (-5.1% last quarter). The average Alpha forecast has improved from a profit of +2.5% to a profit of +3.0%.

 

The 2017 year of account for the Lloyd’s market has seen a deterioration this quarter from a midpoint loss of -9.3% to a midpoint loss of -9.5%. Syndicates with third party capital are forecasting an average loss of -9.2%  (a deterioration from -8.8% last quarter) and aligned syndicates, being those with no third party capital, are forecasting a midpoint loss of -9.7% (a deterioration from -9.5% last quarter). The average Alpha forecast has improved from a loss of -6.4% to a loss of -6.1%.