Forecasts & Results
Atrium has announced an updated forecast for the open 2021, 2022 and 2023 years of account for its syndicate 609
Posted 11/08/2025 – Forecasts & Results
Atrium has announced an updated forecast for the open 2021, 2022 and 2023 years of account for its syndicate 609.
Syndicate 609
The 2021 forecast range has deteriorated to between -5.0% and +5.0%, midpoint 0.0%. The previous forecast range was between 0.0% and +10.0%, midpoint +5.0%.
The 2023 forecast remains in the range of between +12.5% and +17.5%, midpoint +15.0%.
The 2024 forecast remains in the range of between +5.0% and +15.0%, midpoint +10.0%.
Alpha comment
The deterioration on the 2021 year of account is due to Atrium’s updated probabilistic reserve review at Q2. Recent negotiated aviation settlements including the Judge Butcher ruling pointing liability to the war risk underwriters are included in Atrium’s updated figures. We will report further when we know more details. In the meantime the 2023 and 2024 years of account continue to forecast good profits.
